Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.218288 0.233886 0.250344 0.269054 0.289797 0.312158 0.338180
2025-05-25 0.186032 0.208676 0.234190 0.265316 0.302603 0.346276 0.401962
2025-06-01 0.164943 0.191222 0.222289 0.262271 0.313181 0.377014 0.465074
2025-06-08 0.149867 0.178177 0.212913 0.259561 0.322007 0.404964 0.527659
2025-06-15 0.141072 0.171429 0.209913 0.263606 0.338874 0.444508 0.611852
2025-06-22 0.130065 0.160613 0.200289 0.257267 0.340036 0.461364 0.664718
2025-06-29 0.119536 0.149472 0.189099 0.247329 0.334393 0.466696 0.699347
2025-07-06 0.111024 0.140364 0.179858 0.239099 0.330022 0.472864 0.735730
2025-07-13 0.107448 0.137665 0.179181 0.243056 0.344359 0.510431 0.834896
2025-07-20 0.104056 0.134940 0.178172 0.246265 0.357642 0.547857 0.942233
2025-07-27 0.100489 0.131705 0.176131 0.247589 0.367798 0.581044 1.049050
2025-08-03 0.096777 0.128023 0.173140 0.247077 0.374637 0.608950 1.151585
2025-08-10 0.092724 0.123738 0.169139 0.244879 0.378784 0.633351 1.255932
2025-08-17 0.088067 0.118359 0.163203 0.239119 0.376090 0.644166 1.331599
2025-08-24 0.084355 0.114209 0.158922 0.235789 0.377509 0.663714 1.437203
2025-08-31 0.081127 0.110621 0.155295 0.233258 0.380095 0.686108 1.559143
2025-09-07 0.079450 0.109294 0.155140 0.236677 0.394482 0.737082 1.788323
2025-09-14 0.076047 0.105141 0.150197 0.231212 0.390517 0.744886 1.881878
2025-09-21 0.072241 0.100213 0.143765 0.222647 0.379427 0.733983 1.907306
2025-09-28 0.068957 0.095987 0.138307 0.215542 0.370771 0.727979 1.949919
2025-10-05 0.067912 0.095246 0.138565 0.218958 0.384598 0.781036 2.245791
2025-10-12 0.066798 0.094343 0.138492 0.221727 0.397334 0.834003 2.578426
2025-10-19 0.065452 0.093006 0.137608 0.222870 0.406582 0.879510 2.913135